AFeola 20/21 Soccer Picks

[afeola11]

Long time reader, first time poster...

Wanted to document plays from a new model I am testing

Tail/Fade/Ignore, choice is yours material is material and BOL to everybody!

 

[afeola11]

11-6

- Sassuolo, mL, +111 (4u)
- Koln, mL, +191 (2u)
- Marseille, pk, -117 (3u) **If you play mL on this one reduce unit size to 2u**

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 7th

Italy
- Benevento, mL, +105 (3u)
- Fiorentina, mL, +114, (4u)

Germany
- Hertha, mL, +141, (3u) **If you want the spread at pk, bump to (4u)**

France
- PSG, -1, -139, (2u)



1-2 (-3.44)

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 8th

Italy
- Juventus, mL, -115 (3u)

Spain
- Athletic Bilbao, mL, +135 (2u)

France
- Nimes, mL, +204 (1u)
- Nice, +0.5, -122 (3u)

England
- Tottenham, -1, -128 (3u)
- Manchester City, mL, +102 (2u)
- Aston Villa, +1, -145 (3u)



3-4 (-4.77)

 

[jersey_dude]

Good luck with your plays and with your model!
Is important to stick to it for at least 200 plays, otherwise you can't get a real estimation.

 

[afeola11]

Thank You, I agree; I usually will run a season long test for a model before I make any plays. Last season I ran a test on this particular model and it did "well" not great, not awful.

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 8th **Update**

4-9-1 (-13.70)

No plays until after international break, as this model only analyzes Top 5 domestic euro leagues.

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 20th

Spain
- Osasuna, mL, +146 (3u)

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 21st

Spain
- Sevilla, mL, -130 (3u)

England
- Aston Villa, mL, +122 (3u)


4-10-1 (-16.70)

 

[afeola11]

Nov.22

Italy
- Fiorentina, -1, -118 (3u)

Spain
- Real Sociedad, mL, -123 (3u)
- Granada, mL, +112 (2u)

Germany
- Union Berlin, mL, +169 (2u)

France
- Lens, mL, -102 (3u)
- Montpellier, mL, +120 (3u)
- Lille, -1, +111 (2u)


5-11-1 (-17.39)

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 23

Spain
- Athletic Bilbao, mL, +116 (3u)

England
- Crystal Palace, Pk, -109 (3u)



10-13-1 (-7.81)

 

[afeola11]

Nov.24

*No Plays*


11-14-1 (-7.33)

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 27


France
- Stade Rennes, mL, +155 (3u)

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 28

Italy
- Hellas Verona, +1.5, -114 (2u)

Spain
- Elche, mL, +227 (2u)
- Atletico Madrid, mL, -134 (4u)

Germany
- Union Berlin, pk, -117 (4u)

France
- Marseille, mL, +129 (3u)

England
- Everton, mL, -101 (2u)


11-15-1 (-10.33)

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 29

Italy
- Milan, mL, -136 (4u)
- Cagliari, mL, +127 (3u)

Spain
- Real Sociedad, mL, +122 (2u)

Germany
- Leverkusen, mL, -125 (4u)

France
- Metz, pk, -134 (3u)
- Lille, mL, -130 (4u)



14-17-2 (-5.73)

 

[jersey_dude]

Good luck today, we are on the same sides with Milan and Real Sociedad!

 

[afeola11]

Thank You, BoL to you as well....took a beating today but back on that horse lol

 

[afeola11]

Nov. 30

Italy
- Genoa, pk, -126 (3u)

England
- Aston Villa, pk, +117 (3u)


15-22-2 (-18.79)

 

[afeola11]

Dec. 4

Spain
- Ath.Bilbao, mL, +130 (2u)


15-24-2 (-24.79)

 

[afeola11]

Dec. 5

Germany
- M'Gladbach, mL, -105 (3u)

England
- Chelsea, -1, -125 (3u)


15-25-2 (-26.79)